Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 1.635928 1.887791 2.159834 2.474806 2.828702 3.213302 3.662127
2024-10-27 1.248266 1.597342 2.007864 2.523002 3.148565 3.879840 4.795295
2024-11-03 0.980877 1.377111 1.879480 2.555228 3.431403 4.519172 5.960474
2024-11-10 0.782055 1.194848 1.754848 2.555693 3.654551 5.090215 7.084773
2024-11-17 0.624542 1.032759 1.622290 2.513525 3.799684 5.556972 8.100464
2024-11-24 0.502909 0.896344 1.498769 2.457256 3.905102 5.963926 9.053465
2024-12-01 0.424661 0.810577 1.433602 2.471007 4.102145 6.503295 10.219865
2024-12-08 0.355969 0.726508 1.356095 2.450857 4.238267 6.955484 11.282897
2024-12-15 0.314584 0.681831 1.334843 2.514334 4.504004 7.613345 12.686819
2024-12-22 0.271563 0.625593 1.284498 2.520359 4.672977 8.128414 13.900031
2024-12-29 0.249773 0.606602 1.297244 2.634734 5.027892 8.956229 15.645899
2025-01-05 0.227193 0.581616 1.294694 2.719542 5.336404 9.725307 17.338892
2025-01-12 0.194308 0.529397 1.234844 2.696463 5.462373 10.216113 18.636905
2025-01-19 0.173539 0.500641 1.218256 2.754317 5.739542 10.982243 20.441217
2025-01-26 0.153684 0.469891 1.192983 2.791772 5.981596 11.703343 22.212700
2025-02-02 0.133870 0.434757 1.152761 2.793479 6.154684 12.312641 23.825795
2025-02-09 0.113876 0.394265 1.093959 2.748469 6.231386 12.751513 25.163431
2025-02-16 0.096057 0.355178 1.031866 2.687909 6.269702 13.119376 26.391394
2025-02-23 0.084768 0.332378 1.005467 2.702873 6.461147 13.781193 28.180789
2025-03-02 0.073314 0.305923 0.965410 2.681145 6.572769 14.295966 29.724407
2025-03-09 0.067123 0.295039 0.964102 2.749754 6.880198 15.202480 32.034976
2025-03-16 0.059282 0.276272 0.938454 2.756273 7.052539 15.853121 33.894105
2025-03-23 0.056272 0.274237 0.959210 2.879817 7.492412 17.057506 36.861698